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S&P 500, Nasdaq on track for record close on renewed hopes for fiscal aid package

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Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W. Va., speaks alongside a group of Democratic and Republican lawmakers as they announce a proposal for a COVID-19 relief bill on Tuesday.


Saul Loeb/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

U.S. stocks pushed higher Tuesday, helped by signs that talks towards a new coronavirus aid package may be making progress in Congress.

Equities are aiming to build on a historic November rally that was ignited partly by optimism over progress toward a COVID-19 vaccine to quell the pandemic that caused a recession this year.

What are major benchmarks doing?
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA,
    +0.66%

    was up 193.54 points, or 0.7%, at 29,832.18 after briefly trading above its record close of 30,046.24 in earlier action.

  • The S&P 500
    SPX,
    +1.08%

    was up 37.90 points, or 1.1%, at 3,659.53, trading above its Friday record close of 3,638.35.

  • The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP,
    +1.12%

    was also trading above its all-time closing high, rising 132.77 points, or 1.1%, to 12,331.51.

Stocks finished lower on Monday, but saw a month of historic gains that saw major benchmarks touch all-time highs. For the month:

  • The Dow rose 11.8%, its biggest monthly rise since January 1987 and its biggest November gain since 1928.

  • The S&P 500 gained 10.8%, for its biggest monthly advance since April and its largest November rise since 1928.

  • The Nasdaq Composite saw an 11.8% gain, its biggest monthly rise since April and best November advance since 2001.

  • The small-cap Russell 2000 jumped 18.3%, its largest monthly rise on record.

What’s driving the market?

Analysts tied support, in part, to efforts to revive talks toward a new round of coronavirus aid on Capitol Hill, after a bipartisan group of lawmakers proposed a $900 billion package.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, testifying before a Senate panel, appeared to welcome the effort. News reports said Mnuchin and house Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., were scheduled to discuss prospects for a package in a phone call Tuesday afternoon.

“Whether its fiscal stimulus, or Powell coming out to say the foot’s going to be one the gas, that’s what the market wants to hear. It’s not necessarily about the fundamentals,” said Joe Saluzzi, co-head of equity trading at Themis Securities, in an interview.

November gains for equities were tied in large part to optimism over progress toward a COVID-19 vaccine, with three candidates showing promise in late-stage trials.

With pharmaceutical manufacturers seeking emergency approval from governments in the U.S. and Europe, prospects for widespread distribution by early next year stoked expectations for a broader global economic recovery.

“December is kicking off in notable fashion as global equity markets are pressing higher after a very impressive month of performance in November,” said Yousef Abbasi, global market strategist at StoneX. “At this point, we may see investors move with a calendar-driven approach to rebalancing into pro-cyclicals. ”

As a result, investors are looking past a sharp rise in COVID-19 cases in the U.S. and Europe but some analysts contend the rally is likely to be challenged in coming weeks as worries mount over the economic toll from rising cases amid a lack of additional aid spending out of Washington.

The joint appearance by Powell and Mnuchin in Tuesday’s hearing comes after the Treasury secretary last month unexpectedly told the Fed he wouldn’t extend five lending programs served as a backstop to municipal and corporate debt markets and to purchase loans made to small businesses and nonprofits when they expire on Dec. 31.

Read: Mnuchin, Powell face questions from lawmakers on curtailed coronavirus loan programs

On the retail front, Cyber Monday wrapped up with $10.8 billion in sales, up 15.1% from last year and setting a record for the biggest online sales day in U.S. history, according to data from Adobe Analytics
ADBE,
-0.16%
.

In U.S. economic data, the IHS Markit final manufacturing purchasing managers index reading for November was unchanged at 56.7 from its initial reading.

The Institute for Supply Management’s November manufacturing index slipped to 57.5% from an October reading of 59.3%. Economists surveyed by MarketWatch had looked for a decline to 58%. A reading of more than 50% signals an expansion in activity.

However, a drop in the ISM’s employment subindex into contraction territory at 48.4% from 52.3% in October offered some worrying signs on the labor-market front.

Separately, October construction spending showed a rise of 1.3%, versus expectations for a 1% rise.

Investors will also hear from Fed Gov. Lael Brainard and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly over the course of the day.

Which companies are in focus?
What are other markets doing?


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